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my guess... Nf6

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Originally posted by bosintang
Hehe, he gave statistics for the opening move 1. X, you gave statistics for 1. c4 X..
ahhah! right! 😀 I just read it quickly and thought I saw 1...e5, 1...e6 and 1...Nf6. 🙂 I did actually notice there was 1.Nf3, but thought it was a typo. 😀

oh well, I just woke up...

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Statistics doesn't tell which the next move will be, only the propabilities for it.
(Statistics is fun!)

The percentages I have are different than those of wormwood.

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1...c6

3 edits
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Originally posted by bosintang
Hehe, he gave statistics for the opening move 1. X, you gave statistics for the reply to that, 1. c4 X.

Even then, 'score' doesn't equate to 'percent played' because those three moves combined add up to over 100%.
Of course they don't (add up to 100), they are winning percentages for white. It is saying that statistically out of 100 games where 1.c4 Nf6 is played White wins 58/100 or perhaps wins 50 and draws 16 (draw = .5).

Edit: this applies to your post too Fabian.

Like all statistics this implies a larger sample than 100 games, but you get the idea.

Edit 3: Since Fabian took Nf6, I'll guess g7 with a kings indian type setup.

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Originally posted by zebano
Since Fabian took Nf6, I'll guess g7 with a kings indian type setup.
I haven't said anything about black's move yet.
I sho you one move every 24 hour.

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Originally posted by FabianFnas
I haven't said anything about black's move yet.
I sho you one move every 24 hour.
oops, that was Ray.

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Originally posted by FabianFnas
If you don't know anything about a game to be started and you are supposed to guess what move it's going to be... Then it is good to know some statistics.

1. e4 is played in 47.9% of all games played.
1. d4 is played in 39.0% of all games played.
Now we have the these to moves is played in 81.9% of all games.

What is move in third place? Answer is ...[text shortened]... played.

After that we have g3, f4, b3, Nc3 etc., all with a percentage lower than 1% each.
Statistics? How Brilliant!

He picked the move 1.c4 which is what 7.7%

So much for Statistics 😛

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nf6

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e5

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Live dangerously

1...d5

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We should go faster than 1 move per 24 hours. This thread will take months to finish.

Oh, and, I'd go with e5 because it is my opening of choice 🙂

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1...Nf6 transposing to the KID. That's what I'd do anyway.

1 edit
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1. c4 e6

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Bing Bing! Do I win a prize? Oh, not yet? 😉

Score:ray1993 1 bosintang 1 everyone else 0

1..e6 -- not much to say about this other than its a slower positional move. I think black is looking for the game to transpose into the Queens Gambit Declined (QGD).

My next guess: 2. Nf3

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