@humy said
Not necessarily. I take it what you mean by "new cases" is "newly detected cases".
A rise in new actual cases i.e. including as-yet unconfirmed ones can at least be partly what could cause an increase in testing which in term can lead to more people being actually tested. A rise in new actual cases should mean more people showing symptoms and that can cause an increase in deman ...[text shortened]... because you don't see it! But then the reason why you wouldn't see it is because you aren't looking.
You cant have your cake and eat it too humy. New Cases are sharply rising over a duration of time much larger than the incubation period of COVID and deaths continue to decline. You are putting the cart before the horse in your "analysis". Where are the accompanying deaths?
I have data. On May 11th for example. The US tested 169,205. The New Positives on that day 17,655
10% Positive per Test Issued per Day
The same data now is 50,586 Positives/616,826 Tests = 8% Positve per Test Issued per Day.
If the disesase was refiring, the Positive per Test Issued per Day would be increasing from its values near the peak. However, this value, like deaths is also in decline from the peak.