Originally posted by robbie carrobie
one does not need to see it, there are roughly 100 known types of amino acids, 22 of which need to be of the right kind and in the right sequence to produce proteins, the very building blocks of life, even if the whole universe was a pre organic soup, the chances of this happening mathematically are virtually impossible. Now you can accept the fact ...[text shortened]... a probability, an absurdly large probability, in fact so large as to be virtually non happening.
you are making the same silly mistake the guy you posted did.
you are calculating from nothing to life. meaning 0 amino acids in order to 22 in one step.
but thats not how it is thought to have happened. there were lots of steps in between.
so at one point we had something much simpler floating around made of a few amino acids, lots and lots of different simple combinations.
some of the simple combinations didnt work well or combine with others. some simple combinations worked well and linked well with others making more complex combinations.
the fact that some combinations are prone to working well with others dramatically improves the odds of more of those combinations occurring.
this is why it is impossible to get a true calculation. we do not know how easily or hard different combinations formed. life could be a odds defeating one off, it could also be as common as a glasgow tower block, we just do not know.
there are examples i could show you of how easily synthetic simple organisms can form into more complex things and show many of the steps that exist between a chemical reaction to 'life'.
so just to be clear, so the dodgy odds dont come up again. you would not calculate the odds of a pile of molecules suddenly forming a fully grown human. the odds would be so huge it would make a human existing impossible.......so we do not calculate the odds of any life like that. it is not done in one step.