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My two cents

In 2016 people were reluctant/embarrased to say they were supporting Trump, that's why the polls were off.

4 years on and there's been a shift in the brazenness of the average Trump supporter such that the polls that predict a Biden landslide are more likely to be accurate.

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@kmax87 said
My two cents

In 2016 people were reluctant/embarrased to say they were supporting Trump, that's why the polls were off.

4 years on and there's been a shift in the brazenness of the average Trump supporter such that the polls that predict a Biden landslide are more likely to be accurate.
Lol, ok you are certainly an expert.

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An expert at being retarded...

Trump wins

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@suzianne said
Take a good look at a typical Trump supporter.

Then you say, okay, now I get it.
Hey, I resemble that insinuation! 😛

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@cheesemaster said
An expert at being retarded...

Trump wins
You calling anyone else retarded is hypocrisy of the surest level.

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I should be sleeping but I had too much coffee.

It's interesting that the odds have completely reversed. Donald Trump was at 2/1 earlier, which implies an unadjusted probability of 33% of winning. Joe Biden was at 4/9, or 69%.

Donald Trump is now at 1/3, or unadjusted implied probability of 75% to win the White House. Joe Biden is at 2/7 or 29%. Trump leads in every swing state I said would go to him except Arizona (Nevada hasn't started counting yet). Of the two "maybes", he leads in Wisconsin.

Edit: Joe's odds are rapidly drifting.

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@shavixmir said
You calling anyone else retarded is hypocrisy of the surest level.
Touche 😒

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My wife, who supports Trump the NRA and pro life has a theory why Trump does not poll accurately. She says that people like her will not respond to pollsters. She does not like them and just hangs up on them.

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@eladar said
My wife, who supports Trump the NRA and pro life has a theory why Trump does not poll accurately. She says that people like her will not respond to pollsters. She does not like them and just hangs up on them.
100% right

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-Removed-
It's looking like when all the votes are counted, my prediction in the Presidential race won't be too far off. Biden's up by over 2 million in the popular vote and depending how the final votes cast turn out, he still may approach 300 EVs.

It was a disappointing night in the Senate, though, and it looks likely the Republicans will still hold a majority.

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It looks like Trump is winning North Carolina. The Democratic STATE governor - **in a federal election**
has declared that the counting will go n for 9 more days and the signatures do not have to match.

Trump is taking it it to the supreme court, naturally.

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It ain't over 'til it's over.