@eladar said
I just calculated the probablity of a person aged 5-17 of being hospitalized. Given that so many young people have such mild cases, this group's true number of cases is likely much greater than 10 times the tested cases.
But assuming that the true number of covid cases is 10 times tested...
Probablilty of a 5-17 year old being hospitalized is .0000106
This means that ...[text shortened]... hat all 100 000 people should be vaccinated because 1 of them is likely to be hospitalized and live.
You're not a math teacher, are you?
These figures are incomplete but:
"More than 5,300 children or teenagers in 22 states were hospitalized for COVID-19 between May and November with dramatically varying rates of growth between states, a new study shows."
https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2021-01-12/more-than-5-300-pediatric-hospitalizations-for-covid-in-22-states-study-shows
5,300 x 100,000 = 530 million. Given that study was less than half the States and didn't cover the beginning of the pandemic or any date since last November, your math would suggest well over a billion people 5-17 in the US have had COVID.
That seems a bit high, doesn't it?