Originally posted by DoctorScribbles
Yes! That's the salient feature of the process governing the outcomes.
In short, your first guess will be wrong with probability 2/3. That means the prize lies behind one of other two doors with probability 2/3. Eliminate one of those other two doors (an instance of arbitrarily repartitioning the outcomes as I was describing before) and the u ...[text shortened]... this then to see if you have any unresolved issues, and to see if Freaky remains an idiot.
The only way you'd get a true 2/3 type of system is broaden the
scope to a simple 1, >1, or 0. When we start digging into the what
1 God, or which if not all >1 of gods there are do we run into issues
where the views about each could be wrong. Defining the outcome of
getting it right or wrong is also beyond the simple too, unless it is
clearly spelled out on what we are talking about, then it is either right
or wrong.
Kelly