Originally posted by twhitehead
The odds of winning have nothing to do with the size of the winnings.
 if you have a 1 in 10 chance of winning a US$10 prize and the prise is increased to US$1,000,000 you still have a 1 in 10 chance. An infinite prize does not guarantee a win.
You're mixing the two concepts. It is not the odds of winning, but the odds of favor. In the pass/fail system (which this clearly is), one either pulls the lever or refuses to pull the lever.
The one who pulls the lever is now faced with two possibilities: that which was promised is real and becomes his reward; or, that which was promised is false and he has nothing.
The one who refuses to pull the lever has two possibilities available to him, as well. With pass/fail, the odds
are 50/50 for the one who pulls the lever--- 50% chance that he receives the reward or 50% chance that he doesn't. The one who refuses to pull the lever has a 100% chance of missing out on the eternal reward. But, he also has a 50/50 proposition put to him.
The one who refuses to pull the lever has a 50% chance that absolutely nothing happens upon death. The other side of the coin, however, gives him Hell.
is where the distinction becomes most profound. The one who pulls the lever has a 50% chance to receive an eternity which far outstrips the effort he placed into pulling the lever. He is the homeless vagrant who inherits a ready-made universal paradise simply because he sat in the right chair.
Back to the one who refuses to pull the lever. Although he is guaranteed to not
be qualified for at least a 50% shot at the universal paradise, his best case scenario is to receive absolutely nothing
! Moreover, there is another twist. The one who refuses to pull the lever has that 50% chance to spend an eternity in a fiery place of torment.
Both people have but one vote, and both face the same odds. The distinction is the favor related to the odds. While the one who pulls the lever has a best case of receiving an eternal paradise (and a worst case of receiving nothing), the one who refuses to pull the lever has a best case of receiving nothing (and a worst case of receiving an eternal hell).