Originally posted by epiphinehas
No offense, but that video was asinine. 🙂 It claims that believing in Jesus Christ is not a choice, which is false. Whether someone's faith is unfeigned or not is a choice. We must accept or deny Jesus Christ based on the merits of God's word alone; either we choose to believe the bible is truly God's word or we don't - there is no middle gro Pascal's wager out of this context is the source of the confusion surrounding his logic.
Well the video was just an easy start. If you want something more sophisticated, pick up any philosophy of religion book written in the last century which addresses the problem. Anyway, I'll give you some of my objections. The problem is essentially a game theoretic one, but I will eschew economic terminology except in a few places. If you have not studied game theory and/or do not understand the terminology just let me know and I'll try to explain things a bit differently.
I don't think the video is too far off. You either believe, or you don't. The choice is not whether or not to believer but rather whether or not to repent/follow. Of course, it's easier for a believer to repent/follow and a non-believer to reject, but one should not confuse believing for a choice. Pascal's Wager essentially tells the non-believer to betray his feelings and repent/follow in order to maximize his expected payoff. Of course, the Christian god should know the difference so repenting without belief won't avoid hell.
Pascal also depends crucially upon weak assumptions. The first is that the non-believer loses nothing by choosing to repent/follow. Following Christ means abstaining from many things that would bring pleasure in life. The believer chooses to abstain because he thinks that "the wages of sin is death" (where "death" is a spiritual state). For the non-believer, abstaining from these actions may reduce his lifetime utility so it would be better for him to do as he wishes. The only way that Pascal's Wager can still pertain to him is if he assigns some positive probability to the event that his actions will lead him to an eternal damnation (and thus a lower expected value).
The non-believer, however, assigns zero probability to such an event, so it doesn't matter how bad the penalty would be. The optimal behavior for the non-believer is to reject the Christian god.
Second, makes the assumption that the space of possible outcomes is completely described by the union of "Jesus Christ is God" and "There does not exist any god." Such a description is almost certainly incomplete. There are an infinite number of other possible events. Here are a few examples.
1. No gods exist but all people will go to the same place when they die. Whether that place is one of damnation or bliss, it would be better to reject the Christian god.
2. A different god from the Christian one exists and will punish all those who do not believe and follow him. Thus Christians and non-believers (who do not believe in this other god) will suffer the same fate, and therefore rejecting Jesus would be a weakly dominant strategy to repenting/following because at least you'd be a little happier doing as you wish in life.
There are an infinite number of such examples and I could continue listing them until my imagination or body is exhausted. However, I will conclude with just one more: the atheist-loving god. This god highly prizes rationality. Knowing that he did not leave enough evidence in nature to support belief in him, he rewards atheists and damns all theists. In this case, Pascal's Wager is ironically reversed, and it is just as plausible as Christian god. If the theist placed any positive probability on this event, he should be terrified. Realizing then, why you are not concerned by this reverse Pascal's Wager should give you insight into why no one else is concerned about it's reciprical.