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probability

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Originally posted by EcstremeVenom
i bet youre laughed at in real life, so you try to act cool on the internet; im cooler than you are trust me.
Either you hurt his feelings or you didn't.

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Originally posted by DoctorScribbles
Either you hurt his feelings or you didn't.
It's 50/50.

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Originally posted by XanthosNZ
By discussed do you mean you insisted it was 50/50 and everyone else told you you were wrong and laughed in your face? Because that's what I read.
He did recognize that he was wrong, instead of mocking him you should be praising him for having the intellectual honesty to do so (unlike many).

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Originally posted by Palynka
He did recognize that he was wrong, instead of mocking him you should be praising him for having the intellectual honesty to do so (unlike many).
He screwed up using Pascal's Wager as a reason for believing in God. You don't get any praise for that kind of crap.

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Originally posted by XanthosNZ
He screwed up using Pascal's Wager as a reason for believing in God. You don't get any praise for that kind of crap.
Pascal did it and he was one of the founders of probability theory. Everyone can say something wrong but not everyone admits they're wrong.

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Originally posted by DoctorScribbles
No, of course not. Only an idiot would think such a thing. To believe that, one would have to believe that all propostions are equally likely to be true or false, since all propositions are either true or false.
Are all propositions either true or false?

What about this proposition:

"This sentence is false"

Surely, this proposition is either both true and false, or neither true nor false, but not merely true, nor merely false.

Or would you contend that this is not a proposition?

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Originally posted by Palynka
Pascal did it and he was one of the founders of probability theory. Everyone can say something wrong but not everyone admits they're wrong.
Right. Good job, Venom. Seriously.

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Originally posted by Pawnokeyhole
Are all propositions either true or false?

What about this proposition:

"This sentence is false"

Surely, this proposition is either both true and false, or neither true nor false, but not merely true, nor merely false.

Or would you contend that this is not a proposition?
All propositions are either true or false. No proposition is both true and false (except many made by lucifershammer and other religious zealots who haven't yet ironed out all of the incoherence in their belief systems but want to appear as if they have), nor is any proposition neither true nor false.

If you hold that the example you provide is a proposition, it is a false one. That is because propositions assert that something is the case; that is, they claim that something is true. The example claims that it is both true, in virtue of being a proposition and thereby asserting itself, and false due to its text. That is, it is claiming that something is both true and false, a tautological falsehood. Therefore, the proposition is false. But it would be a fallacy to then assert that the proposition is true after negating its text, because that is only one clause of the conjunction asserted by the propostion, whose actual propositional content is "This proposition is true and this proposition is false."

Consider a non-self-referential example to follow the mechanics, like the proposition "Dogs have 10 legs," whose actual propositional content is "This proposition is true and Dogs have 10 legs." Here, we have another false proposition, because it is not the case that dogs have 10 legs. In this instance, negating the text of the proposition yields a true proposition: "Dogs do not have 10 legs." Why does the negation work here and not in the above case? Because here, both clauses of the conjunction are logically equivalent. In general, to deny (A and B) is to assert (Not-A or Not-B). In this example, Not-A is equivalent to Not-B, so we can just pick one, namely "Dogs do not have 10 legs" and validly assert it. In the self-referential example, Not-A and Not-B were not logically equivalent, so it is a fallacy to deduce Not-B from (Not-A or Not-B) in that example as we validly did in this one.


If you hold that it is not a proposition, then there is no issue.

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Originally posted by DoctorScribbles
All propositions are either true or false. No proposition is both true and false (except many made by lucifershammer and other religious zealots who haven't yet ironed out all of the incoherence in their belief systems but want to appear as if they have), nor is any proposition neither true nor false.

If you hold that the example y ...[text shortened]... d in this one.


If you hold that it is not a proposition, then there is no issue.
"If dogs have 10 ten legs I am a monkey"

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Originally posted by XanthosNZ
"If dogs have 10 ten legs I am a monkey"
A true proposition, just like all other implications with true conclusions. An implication is false only if its antecedant is true and its conclusion is false, which is clearly not the case here.

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Originally posted by DoctorScribbles
All propositions are either true or false. No proposition is both true and false (except many made by lucifershammer and other religious zealots who haven't yet ironed out all of the incoherence in their belief systems but want to appear as if they have), nor is any proposition neither true nor false.

If you hold that the example y ...[text shortened]... d in this one.


If you hold that it is not a proposition, then there is no issue.
You've convinced me, as far as the liar paradox is concerned.

What about propositions about the future? Do you regard them as already either true or false in the present? If so, does that mean that the future is entirely determined?

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Originally posted by Pawnokeyhole
You've convinced me, as far as the liar paradox is concerned.

What about propositions about the future? Do you regard them as already either true or false in the present? If so, does that mean that the future is entirely determined?
example?

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Originally posted by Pawnokeyhole
You've convinced me, as far as the liar paradox is concerned.

What about propositions about the future? Do you regard them as already either true or false in the present? If so, does that mean that the future is entirely determined?
I don't know. Ask bbarr. He already said he'd give some remarks about theories of knowledge and the relationship between propositions and reality, in light of how badly the topic was presented in the CRISIS Magazine article I cited a couple weeks ago.

I suppose if I stick by my above remarks that all propositions have exactly one truth value, then I am committed to denying that claims about the future of the universe are proper propositions. I think this remains the case even when formulating the proposition within some sort of temporal logic framework.

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Originally posted by EcstremeVenom
example?
The proposition, "I will want to eat chocolate ice cream on my 100th birthday."

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Originally posted by DoctorScribbles
The proposition, "I will want to eat chocolate ice cream on my 100th birthday."
do you eat chocolate ice cream on your bdays? and will you live to be 100?

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