Originally posted by @eladar
Now that the mandate is thrown on the trash heap of history, how much longer can Obama Care survive?
The next time the Dems are in control will we get true socialized medicine with insurance only for the 1 percent?
A reasoned analysis:
But the repeal of the individual mandate penalty will not by any means bring an end to the ACA. The numbers who lose coverage will likely be much smaller than the CBO estimates. S&P Global estimates that it is more likely that three to five million will lose coverage by 2027. The Medicaid expansions, which have accounted for a majority of the ACA’s coverage of the uninsured, will continue. So will provisions of the ACA that have streamlined eligibility for traditional Medicaid, leading to increased Medicaid coverage in states that have not expanded Medicaid. The exchanges will continue to operate.
Premium tax credits will continue to keep coverage affordable for consumers with incomes below 400 percent of the poverty level. Coverage will continue to be available to all consumers regardless of preexisting conditions. Premiums will not depend on health status, and a risk adjustment system will penalize insurers who attract primarily healthy enrollees. The remaining eight titles of the ACA remain operative, including provisions closing the Medicare donut hole.
Repeal will undoubtedly do harm, however, to insurance markets and those who depend on them. The effect will vary from state to state, but premiums will increase in the individual market across the board, and increase dramatically in some states. Insurers may well abandon some states with smaller markets.
https://www.healthaffairs.org/do/10.1377/hblog20171220.323429/full/