Originally posted by @wolfgang59
Sir John Major is advocating a free vote in the
Commons to say yes or no to final Brexit deal.
Is he mad?
Does he think he is living in a democracy or something?
If one looks merely at the parliamentary arithmetic (even without looking at public opinion) the ship of staying in the EU has sailed. This is for a few reasons.
Mrs May, although a eurosceptic remainer, has accepted result of the referendum. She thought there were benefits to the EU but she was never a Europhile. This is the case for many Tory MPs, who despite being remainers originally have accepted the result. Then there are the Tory MPs who backed brexit. This is about 60 MPs. Lastly we have the Europhile Tories who might rebel against the government. This is about 8 MPs.
Next we have Labour. Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell have voted against the EU for 40 years. The whole hard left faction has launched a takeover of the Labour party, but there are still 80-90 Blairite moderates who would rebel against Corbyn and vote to stay in the EU.
Next we have the Lib Dems who are undoubtedly pro-EU, although they only have 8 seats.
The Scottish national party has 35 seats, but I'm not sure how they would vote. They have flip flopped on the issue. In 2014 they were happy for Scotland to leave the EU if they had voted for independence. Then they changed their minds and tried to use it to stoke support for independence. This didn't work and the party got a clubbing at the election. I don't doubt they will vote to frustrate the UK government though. Independence trumps all.
The Democratic unionists campaigned for brexit, but they only have 10 MPs.
Whether we leave or not has been settled, just going on the parliamentary numbers. It's really with how we leave that parliament is more evenly split.